SC-07 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close
Fry 96% chance
- John Vincent (D)0% past 7 days5%
- Russell Fry (R)-1% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Vincent5%
- Fry96%
Chance over time, past month: Vincent from 6% to 5%; Fry from 96% to 96%.
| Date | Vincent | Fry |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6% | 96% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 96% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 6% | 96% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 6% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 5% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Fry by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Fry +24.9 to Fry +8.8
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Fry by 35+ | 4% |
| Fry by 30–35 | 3% |
| Fry by 25–30 | 2% |
| Fry by 20–25 | 34% |
| Fry by 15–20 | 19% |
| Fry by 10–15 | 26% |
| Fry by 5–10 | 3% |
| Fry by 0–5 | 4% |
| Vincent wins | 3% |