SC Senate forecast
Likely Rep
Polls close
Nordone 82% chance
- Annie Andrews (D)+3% past 7 days18%
- Darline Graham Nordone (R)-3% past 7 days82%
Chance over time
- Andrews18%
- Nordone82%
Chance over time, past month: Andrews from 12% to 18%; Nordone from 87% to 82%.
| Date | Andrews | Nordone |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 13% | 87% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 14% | 87% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 16% | 85% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 16% | 85% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 18% | 82% |
Projected margin
Most likely Nordone by 0–5 · 8 in 10: Nordone +17.9 to an Andrews win
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Nordone by 30+ | 1% |
| Nordone by 25–30 | 3% |
| Nordone by 20–25 | 5% |
| Nordone by 15–20 | 3% |
| Nordone by 10–15 | 12% |
| Nordone by 5–10 | 27% |
| Nordone by 0–5 | 32% |
| Andrews wins | 17% |