SC-05 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close
Climer 93% chance
- Mallory Dittmer (D)-1% past 7 days7%
- Wes Climer (R)+1% past 7 days93%
Chance over time
- Dittmer6%
- Climer93%
Chance over time, past month: Dittmer from 8% to 6%; Climer from 92% to 93%.
| Date | Dittmer | Climer |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 8% | 92% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 8% | 92% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 8% | 92% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 8% | 92% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 6% | 93% |
Projected margin
Most likely Climer by 5–10 · 8 in 10: Climer +24.4 to Climer +5.8
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Climer by 35+ | <1% |
| Climer by 30–35 | 4% |
| Climer by 25–30 | 4% |
| Climer by 20–25 | 15% |
| Climer by 15–20 | 24% |
| Climer by 10–15 | 22% |
| Climer by 5–10 | 25% |
| Climer by 0–5 | 2% |
| Dittmer wins | 4% |