Helm

CA-28 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too

Chu 97% chance

  • Judy Chu (D)-1% past 7 days97%
  • April Verlato (R)0% past 7 days2%

Chance over time

  • Chu97%
  • Verlato2%

Chance over time, past month: Chu from 97% to 97%; Verlato from 2% to 2%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateChuVerlato
Sep 22, 202697%2%
Sep 29, 202697%1%
Oct 6, 202697%2%
Oct 14, 202697%2%
Oct 21, 202697%2%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current CA-28 member was elected on different lines.

More in California

51 more House districts

Ballot measures

  • Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM