Helm

CA-34 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too

Democrats 99% chance

  • Democrats 0% past 7 days99%
  • Republicans 0% past 7 days<1%

Chance over time

  • Democrats99%
  • Republicans<1%

Chance over time, past month: Democrats from >99% to 99%; Republicans from <1% to <1%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateDemocratsRepublicans
Sep 22, 2026>99%<1%
Sep 29, 2026>99%<1%
Oct 7, 202698%<1%
Oct 14, 202698%<1%
Oct 21, 202699%<1%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current CA-34 member was elected on different lines.

More in California

51 more House districts

Ballot measures

  • Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM