CA-36 House forecast
Safe Dem2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too
Lieu 97% chance
- Ted Lieu (D)-1% past 7 days97%
- Houston Brignano (R)0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Lieu97%
- Brignano3%
Chance over time, past month: Lieu from 95% to 97%; Brignano from 5% to 3%.
| Date | Lieu | Brignano |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 97% | 4% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 98% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current CA-36 member was elected on different lines.
More in California
51 more House districts
Ballot measures
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%