TX-12 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close . Districtwide at 7:00 PM local time
Goldman 95% chance
- Angela Rodriguez Prilliman (D)0% past 7 days5%
- Craig Goldman (R)0% past 7 days95%
Chance over time
- Prilliman5%
- Goldman95%
Chance over time, past month: Prilliman from 7% to 5%; Goldman from 94% to 95%.
| Date | Prilliman | Goldman |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
Projected margin
Most likely Goldman by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Goldman +24.7 to Goldman +9.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Goldman by 30+ | 1% |
| Goldman by 25–30 | 7% |
| Goldman by 20–25 | 39% |
| Goldman by 15–20 | 22% |
| Goldman by 10–15 | 21% |
| Goldman by 5–10 | 3% |
| Goldman by 0–5 | 3% |
| Prilliman wins | 5% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current TX-12 member was elected on different lines.