CA-46 House forecast
Safe Dem2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too
Correa 95% chance
- Lou Correa (D)-1% past 7 days95%
- David Pan (R)0% past 7 days4%
Chance over time
- Correa96%
- Pan4%
Chance over time, past month: Correa from 95% to 96%; Pan from 5% to 4%.
| Date | Correa | Pan |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 95% | 6% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current CA-46 member was elected on different lines.
More in California
51 more House districts
Ballot measures
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%