IL-01 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Jackson 96% chance
- Jonathan Jackson (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Christian Maxwell (R)0% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Jackson96%
- Maxwell4%
Chance over time, past month: Jackson from 96% to 96%; Maxwell from 4% to 4%.
| Date | Jackson | Maxwell |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
Projected margin
Most likely Jackson by 40–45 · 8 in 10: Jackson +31.4 to Jackson +49.1
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Maxwell wins | <1% |
| Jackson by 0–15 | 1% |
| Jackson by 15–25 | 1% |
| Jackson by 25–30 | 2% |
| Jackson by 30–35 | 23% |
| Jackson by 35–40 | 19% |
| Jackson by 40–45 | 26% |
| Jackson by 45–50 | 22% |
| Jackson by 50–55 | 5% |
| Jackson by 55+ | 1% |