IL-15 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Miller 96% chance
- Jennifer Todd (D)0% past 7 days3%
- Mary Miller (R)0% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Todd3%
- Miller96%
Chance over time, past month: Todd from 4% to 3%; Miller from 96% to 96%.
| Date | Todd | Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Miller by 25–30 · 8 in 10: Miller +47.9 to Miller +6.8
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Miller by 50+ | 4% |
| Miller by 45–50 | 15% |
| Miller by 40–45 | 3% |
| Miller by 35–40 | 13% |
| Miller by 30–35 | 13% |
| Miller by 25–30 | 24% |
| Miller by 20–25 | 11% |
| Miller by 10–20 | 3% |
| Miller by 0–10 | 10% |
| Todd wins | 3% |