Helm

IL-07 House forecast

Safe Dem2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Ford 98% chance

  • La Shawn Ford (D)+1% past 7 days98%
  • Chad Koppie (R)0% past 7 days2%

Chance over time

  • Ford98%
  • Koppie2%

Chance over time, past month: Ford from 97% to 98%; Koppie from 1% to 2%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateFordKoppie
Sep 23, 202697%1%
Sep 30, 202697%1%
Oct 7, 202698%<1%
Oct 14, 202697%2%
Oct 21, 202698%2%

Projected margin

Most likely Ford by 70–75 · 8 in 10: Ford +60.1 to Ford +78.6

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Koppie wins<1%
Ford by 0–45<1%
Ford by 45–555%
Ford by 55–605%
Ford by 60–6512%
Ford by 65–7022%
Ford by 70–7531%
Ford by 75–8021%
Ford by 80–853%
Ford by 85+1%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

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Context

  • Held by Rep. Danny K. Davis (D)

More in Illinois

16 more House districts

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM