Helm

IL-13 House forecast

Safe Dem2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Budzinski 96% chance

  • Nikki Budzinski (D)-1% past 7 days96%
  • Jeff Wilson (R)0% past 7 days4%

Chance over time

  • Budzinski96%
  • Wilson4%

Chance over time, past month: Budzinski from 95% to 96%; Wilson from 6% to 4%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateBudzinskiWilson
Sep 22, 202695%5%
Sep 29, 202694%4%
Oct 6, 202695%4%
Oct 14, 202697%4%
Oct 21, 202696%4%

Projected margin

Most likely Budzinski by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Budzinski +13.4 to Budzinski +34.5

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Wilson wins<1%
Budzinski by 0–54%
Budzinski by 5–103%
Budzinski by 10–155%
Budzinski by 15–2012%
Budzinski by 20–2520%
Budzinski by 25–3021%
Budzinski by 30–3529%
Budzinski by 35+7%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

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Context

  • Held by Rep. Nikki Budzinski (D)

More in Illinois

16 more House districts

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM