IL-12 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Bost 96% chance
- Julie Fortier (D)+1% past 7 days3%
- Mike Bost (R)-2% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Fortier3%
- Bost96%
Chance over time, past month: Fortier from 3% to 3%; Bost from 97% to 96%.
| Date | Fortier | Bost |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 3% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Bost by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Bost +46.3 to Bost +21.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Bost by 50+ | 1% |
| Bost by 45–50 | 13% |
| Bost by 40–45 | 13% |
| Bost by 35–40 | 25% |
| Bost by 30–35 | 21% |
| Bost by 25–30 | 16% |
| Bost by 20–25 | 1% |
| Bost by 10–20 | 4% |
| Bost by 0–10 | 1% |
| Fortier wins | 5% |