IL-08 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Bean 95% chance
- Melissa Bean (D)+2% past 7 days95%
- Jennifer Davis (R)-1% past 7 days5%
Chance over time
- Bean95%
- Davis5%
Chance over time, past month: Bean from 94% to 95%; Davis from 6% to 5%.
| Date | Bean | Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 94% | 6% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 94% | 6% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 94% | 6% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 94% | 6% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
Projected margin
Most likely Bean by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Bean +10.9 to Bean +34.5
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Davis wins | 4% |
| Bean by 0–5 | <1% |
| Bean by 5–10 | 5% |
| Bean by 10–15 | 5% |
| Bean by 15–20 | 15% |
| Bean by 20–25 | 32% |
| Bean by 25–30 | 26% |
| Bean by 30–35 | 3% |
| Bean by 35+ | 10% |