IL-03 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Ramirez 95% chance
- Delia Ramirez (D)-1% past 7 days95%
- Angel Oakley (R)0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Ramirez95%
- Oakley2%
Chance over time, past month: Ramirez from 97% to 95%; Oakley from 2% to 2%.
| Date | Ramirez | Oakley |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 95% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Ramirez by 40–45 · 8 in 10: Ramirez +29.4 to Ramirez +49.5
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Oakley wins | 1% |
| Ramirez by 0–20 | 1% |
| Ramirez by 20–30 | 9% |
| Ramirez by 30–35 | 3% |
| Ramirez by 35–40 | 19% |
| Ramirez by 40–45 | 38% |
| Ramirez by 45–50 | 21% |
| Ramirez by 50–55 | 5% |
| Ramirez by 55–60 | 3% |
| Ramirez by 60+ | <1% |