IL-10 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Schneider 97% chance
- Brad Schneider (D)0% past 7 days97%
- Carl Lambrecht (R)+1% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Schneider97%
- Lambrecht3%
Chance over time, past month: Schneider from 96% to 97%; Lambrecht from 1% to 3%.
| Date | Schneider | Lambrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 96% | 1% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Schneider by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Schneider +23.6 to Schneider +40.6
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Lambrecht wins | <1% |
| Schneider by 0–10 | 1% |
| Schneider by 10–20 | 5% |
| Schneider by 20–25 | 5% |
| Schneider by 25–30 | 7% |
| Schneider by 30–35 | 44% |
| Schneider by 35–40 | 27% |
| Schneider by 40–45 | 7% |
| Schneider by 45–50 | 4% |
| Schneider by 50+ | <1% |