IL-02 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Miller 96% chance
- Donna Miller (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Michael Noack (R)0% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Miller96%
- Noack2%
Chance over time, past month: Miller from 97% to 96%; Noack from 1% to 2%.
| Date | Miller | Noack |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 97% | 1% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Miller by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Miller +31.5 to Miller +49.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Noack wins | <1% |
| Miller by 0–15 | 3% |
| Miller by 15–25 | 1% |
| Miller by 25–30 | 2% |
| Miller by 30–35 | 13% |
| Miller by 35–40 | 27% |
| Miller by 40–45 | 22% |
| Miller by 45–50 | 26% |
| Miller by 50–55 | 5% |
| Miller by 55+ | 1% |