IN-06 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close
Shreve 96% chance
- Cinde Wirth (D)-2% past 7 days4%
- Jefferson Shreve (R)0% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Wirth4%
- Shreve96%
Chance over time, past month: Wirth from 5% to 4%; Shreve from 95% to 96%.
| Date | Wirth | Shreve |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 5% | 96% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 5% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Shreve by 15–20 · 8 in 10: Shreve +38 to Shreve +15.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Shreve by 45+ | 2% |
| Shreve by 40–45 | 3% |
| Shreve by 35–40 | 11% |
| Shreve by 30–35 | 4% |
| Shreve by 25–30 | 17% |
| Shreve by 20–25 | 25% |
| Shreve by 15–20 | 28% |
| Shreve by 5–15 | 4% |
| Shreve by 0–5 | 3% |
| Wirth wins | 2% |