IN-02 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 6:00 PM local time: 6:00 PM ET in most of Indiana, 7:00 PM ET in 12 Central-time counties
Yakym 96% chance
- Jamee Decio (D)-2% past 7 days3%
- Rudy Yakym (R)+1% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Decio3%
- Yakym96%
Chance over time, past month: Decio from 4% to 3%; Yakym from 97% to 96%.
| Date | Decio | Yakym |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 4% | 97% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 4% | 97% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 4% | 97% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 4% | 95% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Yakym by 10–15 · 8 in 10: Yakym +28 to Yakym +7.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Yakym by 35+ | 3% |
| Yakym by 30–35 | 3% |
| Yakym by 25–30 | 9% |
| Yakym by 20–25 | 21% |
| Yakym by 15–20 | 17% |
| Yakym by 10–15 | 32% |
| Yakym by 5–10 | 9% |
| Yakym by 0–5 | 5% |
| Decio wins | 1% |