IN-09 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close
Houchin 97% chance
- Brad Meyer (D)-1% past 7 days2%
- Erin Houchin (R)0% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Meyer2%
- Houchin98%
Chance over time, past month: Meyer from 5% to 2%; Houchin from 95% to 98%.
| Date | Meyer | Houchin |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Houchin by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Houchin +32.4 to Houchin +12.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Houchin by 40+ | 2% |
| Houchin by 35–40 | 5% |
| Houchin by 30–35 | 7% |
| Houchin by 25–30 | 21% |
| Houchin by 20–25 | 26% |
| Houchin by 15–20 | 24% |
| Houchin by 10–15 | 11% |
| Houchin by 0–10 | 4% |
| Meyer wins | 1% |