Helm

AL-07 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Sewell 98% chance

  • Terri Sewell (D)+1% past 7 days98%
  • Ammie Akin (R)0% past 7 days1%

Chance over time

  • Sewell98%
  • Akin1%

Chance over time, past month: Sewell from 98% to 98%; Akin from 2% to 1%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateSewellAkin
Sep 22, 202698%2%
Sep 29, 202698%2%
Oct 7, 202698%1%
Oct 14, 202698%1%
Oct 21, 202698%1%

Projected margin

Most likely Sewell by 30–35 · 8 in 10: Sewell +19.4 to Sewell +39.8

Margin forecast from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
Projected margin of victory
MarginChance
Akin wins<1%
Sewell by 0–10<1%
Sewell by 10–155%
Sewell by 15–205%
Sewell by 20–2514%
Sewell by 25–3016%
Sewell by 30–3537%
Sewell by 35–4013%
Sewell by 40+10%

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current AL-07 member was elected on different lines.

More in Alabama

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM