AL Governor forecast
Safe Rep
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Tuberville 96% chance
- Doug Jones (D)-2% past 7 days4%
- Tommy Tuberville (R)+2% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Jones4%
- Tuberville96%
Chance over time, past month: Jones from 5% to 4%; Tuberville from 95% to 96%.
| Date | Jones | Tuberville |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 8% | 91% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 7% | 92% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 6% | 94% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Tuberville by 5–10 · 8 in 10: Tuberville +24.5 to Tuberville +2.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Tuberville by 30+ | 4% |
| Tuberville by 25–30 | 5% |
| Tuberville by 20–25 | 9% |
| Tuberville by 15–20 | 16% |
| Tuberville by 10–15 | 26% |
| Tuberville by 5–10 | 26% |
| Tuberville by 0–5 | 7% |
| Jones wins | 7% |