Helm

AL-02 House forecast

Lean Rep2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Marques 70% chance

  • Shomari Figures (D)+1% past 7 days31%
  • Rhett Marques (R)0% past 7 days70%

Chance over time

  • Figures31%
  • Marques70%

Chance over time, past month: Figures from 27% to 31%; Marques from 71% to 70%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateFiguresMarques
Sep 22, 202631%71%
Sep 29, 202626%76%
Oct 6, 202626%75%
Oct 14, 202630%71%
Oct 21, 202631%70%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current AL-02 member was elected on different lines.

More in Alabama

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM