Helm

CA-06 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too

Democrats 96% chance

  • Democrats +2% past 7 days96%
  • Republicans -1% past 7 days1%

Chance over time

  • Democrats96%
  • Republicans1%

Chance over time, past month: Democrats from 96% to 96%; Republicans from 3% to 1%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateDemocratsRepublicans
Sep 22, 202696%3%
Sep 29, 202696%3%
Oct 7, 202695%3%
Oct 14, 202695%2%
Oct 21, 202696%1%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current CA-06 member was elected on different lines.

More in California

51 more House districts

Ballot measures

  • Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM