CA-52 House forecast
Safe Dem2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too
Vargas 97% chance
- Juan Vargas (D)+1% past 7 days97%
- Jeff Belle (R)+1% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Vargas97%
- Belle3%
Chance over time, past month: Vargas from 96% to 97%; Belle from 5% to 3%.
| Date | Vargas | Belle |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 96% | 5% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current CA-52 member was elected on different lines.
More in California
51 more House districts
Ballot measures
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%