NV-01 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Districtwide at 7:00 PM local time
Titus 96% chance
- Dina Titus (D)+1% past 7 days96%
- Carrie Buck (R)-1% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Titus96%
- Buck3%
Chance over time, past month: Titus from 95% to 96%; Buck from 5% to 3%.
| Date | Titus | Buck |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 6% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 95% | 6% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 95% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Titus by 15–20 · 8 in 10: Titus +5.5 to Titus +22.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Buck by 5+ | 3% |
| Buck by 0–5 | 2% |
| Titus by 0–5 | 4% |
| Titus by 5–10 | 16% |
| Titus by 10–15 | 28% |
| Titus by 15–20 | 31% |
| Titus by 20–25 | 17% |
| Titus by 25+ | 1% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Dina Titus (D)
More in Nevada
Ballot measures
- Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Yes 99%