Helm

CA-12 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too

Democrats 98% chance

  • Democrats 0% past 7 days98%
  • Republicans +1% past 7 days2%

Chance over time

  • Democrats98%
  • Republicans3%

Chance over time, past month: Democrats from 96% to 98%; Republicans from <1% to 3%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateDemocratsRepublicans
Sep 22, 202696%<1%
Sep 29, 202698%1%
Oct 6, 202698%1%
Oct 14, 202698%1%
Oct 21, 202698%3%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current CA-12 member was elected on different lines.

More in California

51 more House districts

Ballot measures

  • Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM