CA-40 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too
Calvert 53% chance
- Ken Calvert (R)-6% past 7 days53%
- Young Kim (R)+7% past 7 days47%
Chance over time
- Calvert53%
- Kim47%
Chance over time, past month: Calvert from 68% to 53%; Kim from 31% to 47%.
| Date | Calvert | Kim |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 66% | 34% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 57% | 43% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 59% | 40% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 61% | 41% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 53% | 47% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- New lines for 2026: the current CA-40 member was elected on different lines.
More in California
51 more House districts
Ballot measures
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%