Helm

CA-50 House forecast

Safe Dem2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too

Peters 96% chance

  • Scott Peters (D)0% past 7 days96%
  • Steve Cohen (R)0% past 7 days3%

Chance over time

  • Peters96%
  • Cohen3%

Chance over time, past month: Peters from 95% to 96%; Cohen from 5% to 3%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DatePetersCohen
Sep 22, 202695%5%
Sep 29, 202695%3%
Oct 7, 202695%3%
Oct 14, 202696%3%
Oct 21, 202696%3%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current CA-50 member was elected on different lines.

More in California

51 more House districts

Ballot measures

  • Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 78%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM