California 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
Statewide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot; polling places are open too
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Closest races
Statewide races
1 raceGovernorHeld by DemocratsSafe Dem96%Xavier Becerra (D)3%Steve Hilton (R)Becerra 0% past 7 daysFull forecast
Senate
Neither of California’s Senate seats is on the ballot in 2026.
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
52 seats- Held today
- D 43 · R 8 · Ind 1
- Expected seats
- D 46.7 · R 5.3
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 48
- Safe R 4
California votes on new district lines for 2026: no seat has a like-for-like incumbent, so no flips are marked.
- District 01McGuire 96% chanceSafe D
- District 02Huffman 97% chanceSafe D
- District 03Bera 96% chanceSafe D
- District 04Democrats 96% chanceSafe D
- District 05McClintock 93% chanceSafe R
- District 06Democrats 96% chanceSafe D
- District 07Democrats 97% chanceSafe D
- District 08Garamendi 96% chanceSafe D
- District 09Harder 97% chanceSafe D
- District 10DeSaulnier 96% chanceSafe D
- District 11Democrats 98% chanceSafe D
- District 12Democrats 98% chanceSafe D
- District 13Gray 95% chanceSafe D
- District 14Democrats >99% chanceSafe D
- District 15Mullin 97% chanceSafe D
- District 16Liccardo 97% chanceSafe D
- District 17Khanna 98% chanceSafe D
- District 18Lofgren 98% chanceSafe D
- District 19Panetta 98% chanceSafe D
- District 20Fong 98% chanceSafe R
- District 21Costa 96% chanceSafe D
- District 22Villegas 90% chanceSafe D
- District 23Obernolte 98% chanceSafe R
- District 24Carbajal 98% chanceSafe D
- District 25Ruiz 95% chanceSafe D
- District 26Irwin 96% chanceSafe D
- District 27Whitesides 96% chanceSafe D
- District 28Chu 97% chanceSafe D
- District 29Democrats 97% chanceSafe D
- District 30Friedman 96% chanceSafe D
- District 31Cisneros 96% chanceSafe D
- District 32Sherman 96% chanceSafe D
- District 33Aguilar 96% chanceSafe D
- District 34Democrats 99% chanceSafe D
- District 35Torres 97% chanceSafe D
- District 36Lieu 97% chanceSafe D
- District 37Democrats 97% chanceSafe D
- District 38Solis 97% chanceSafe D
- District 39Takano 96% chanceSafe D
- District 40Calvert 53% chanceR vs R
- District 41Sánchez 96% chanceSafe D
- District 42Garcia 97% chanceSafe D
- District 43Waters 96% chanceSafe D
- District 44Barragán 97% chanceSafe D
- District 45Tran 94% chanceSafe D
- District 46Correa 95% chanceSafe D
- District 47Min 95% chanceSafe D
- District 48von Wilpert 94% chanceSafe D
- District 49Levin 95% chanceSafe D
- District 50Peters 96% chanceSafe D
- District 51Jacobs 97% chanceSafe D
- District 52Vargas 97% chanceSafe D
Ballot measures
1 measureBillionaire one-time wealth tax
78% chance no
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
News and signals in California
Each item links to its source.