CT-03 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
DeLauro 96% chance
- Rosa DeLauro (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Chris Lancia (R)0% past 7 days4%
Chance over time
- DeLauro96%
- Lancia4%
Chance over time, past month: DeLauro from 95% to 96%; Lancia from 6% to 4%.
| Date | DeLauro | Lancia |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 6% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 5% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
Projected margin
Most likely DeLauro by 30–35 · 8 in 10: DeLauro +20.7 to DeLauro +35
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Lancia wins | <1% |
| DeLauro by 0–5 | <1% |
| DeLauro by 5–10 | <1% |
| DeLauro by 10–15 | 4% |
| DeLauro by 15–20 | 3% |
| DeLauro by 20–25 | 16% |
| DeLauro by 25–30 | 23% |
| DeLauro by 30–35 | 28% |
| DeLauro by 35+ | 25% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Rosa L. DeLauro (D)