NH-02 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Most towns at 7:00 PM ET; some stay open until 8:00 PM ET
Goodlander 97% chance
- Maggie Goodlander (D)+3% past 7 days97%
- Lily Tang Williams (R)-1% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Goodlander98%
- Williams3%
Chance over time, past month: Goodlander from 93% to 98%; Williams from 7% to 3%.
| Date | Goodlander | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 93% | 7% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 93% | 7% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 98% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Goodlander by 15–20 · 8 in 10: Goodlander +7.2 to Goodlander +27.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Williams wins | 1% |
| Goodlander by 0–5 | 4% |
| Goodlander by 5–10 | 13% |
| Goodlander by 10–15 | 21% |
| Goodlander by 15–20 | 26% |
| Goodlander by 20–25 | 20% |
| Goodlander by 25–30 | 13% |
| Goodlander by 30+ | 4% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Maggie Goodlander (D)