PA-17 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Deluzio 96% chance
- Chris Deluzio (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Tony Guy (R)-2% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Deluzio96%
- Guy3%
Chance over time, past month: Deluzio from 94% to 96%; Guy from 7% to 3%.
| Date | Deluzio | Guy |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 6% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 6% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 95% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Deluzio by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Deluzio +6.9 to Deluzio +25.9
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Guy wins | 1% |
| Deluzio by 0–5 | 3% |
| Deluzio by 5–10 | 17% |
| Deluzio by 10–15 | 22% |
| Deluzio by 15–20 | 21% |
| Deluzio by 20–25 | 26% |
| Deluzio by 25–30 | 5% |
| Deluzio by 30+ | 6% |