PA-13 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close
Joyce 96% chance
- Beth Farnham (D)+2% past 7 days4%
- John Joyce (R)0% past 7 days96%
Chance over time
- Farnham4%
- Joyce96%
Chance over time, past month: Farnham from 3% to 4%; Joyce from 98% to 96%.
| Date | Farnham | Joyce |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 2% | 98% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 96% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
Projected margin
Most likely Joyce by 35–40 · 8 in 10: Joyce +49.6 to Joyce +27.3
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Joyce by 55+ | <1% |
| Joyce by 50–55 | 9% |
| Joyce by 45–50 | 4% |
| Joyce by 40–45 | 23% |
| Joyce by 35–40 | 29% |
| Joyce by 30–35 | 18% |
| Joyce by 25–30 | 11% |
| Joyce by 15–25 | 5% |
| Joyce by 0–15 | <1% |
| Farnham wins | <1% |