Pennsylvania 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Statewide races
1 raceGovernorHeld by DemocratsSafe Dem98%Josh Shapiro (D)2%Stacy Garrity (R)Shapiro 0% past 7 daysFull forecast
Senate
Neither of Pennsylvania’s Senate seats is on the ballot in 2026.
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
17 seats- Held today
- D 7 · R 10
- Expected seats
- D 9.9 · R 7.1
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe D 8
- Likely D 2
- Lean R 1
- Safe R 6
Districts on the 2024 lines. Flip: the favourite, or the winner, is not the party holding the seat.
- District 01Fitzpatrick 59% chanceLean R
- District 02Boyle 96% chanceSafe D
- District 03Rabb 98% chanceSafe D
- District 04Dean 96% chanceSafe D
- District 05Scanlon 98% chanceSafe D
- District 06Houlahan 97% chanceSafe D
- District 07Brooks 87% chanceprojected Flip to DemocratsSafe D
- District 08Cognetti 72% chanceprojected Flip to DemocratsLikely D
- District 09Meuser 95% chanceSafe R
- District 10Stelson 80% chanceprojected Flip to DemocratsLikely D
- District 11Smucker 96% chanceSafe R
- District 12Lee 98% chanceSafe D
- District 13Joyce 96% chanceSafe R
- District 14Reschenthaler 97% chanceSafe R
- District 15Thompson 95% chanceSafe R
- District 16Kelly 94% chanceSafe R
- District 17Deluzio 96% chanceSafe D
News and signals in Pennsylvania
Each item links to its source.