RI Governor forecast
Safe Dem
Polls close
Foulkes 96% chance
- Helena Foulkes (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Independent +2% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Foulkes96%
- Independent3%
Chance over time, past month: Foulkes from 96% to 96%; Independent from 1% to 3%.
| Date | Foulkes | Independent |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 97% | 1% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 97% | 1% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 97% | 1% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 1% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Foulkes by 15–20 · 8 in 10: Foulkes +5.5 to Foulkes +29.8
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Republican wins | 2% |
| Foulkes by 0–5 | 7% |
| Foulkes by 5–10 | 9% |
| Foulkes by 10–15 | 20% |
| Foulkes by 15–20 | 21% |
| Foulkes by 20–25 | 19% |
| Foulkes by 25–30 | 13% |
| Foulkes by 30–35 | 6% |
| Foulkes by 35+ | 4% |