NE Governor forecast
Safe Rep
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM Central, 7:00 PM Mountain
Pillen 89% chance
- Lynne Walz (D)+1% past 7 days11%
- Jim Pillen (R)+1% past 7 days89%
Chance over time
- Walz11%
- Pillen89%
Chance over time, past month: Walz from 7% to 11%; Pillen from 94% to 89%.
| Date | Walz | Pillen |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 7% | 94% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 9% | 93% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 10% | 90% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 10% | 89% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 11% | 89% |
Projected margin
Most likely Pillen by 5–10 · 8 in 10: Pillen +29.2 to Pillen +0.7
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Pillen by 35+ | 3% |
| Pillen by 30–35 | 6% |
| Pillen by 25–30 | 6% |
| Pillen by 20–25 | 8% |
| Pillen by 15–20 | 12% |
| Pillen by 10–15 | 22% |
| Pillen by 5–10 | 25% |
| Pillen by 0–5 | 10% |
| Walz wins | 9% |