OR-03 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Districtwide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot
Dexter 96% chance
- Maxine Dexter (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Loran Ayles (R)-1% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Dexter96%
- Ayles3%
Chance over time, past month: Dexter from 96% to 96%; Ayles from 4% to 3%.
| Date | Dexter | Ayles |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Dexter by 55–60 · 8 in 10: Dexter +44.1 to Dexter +64
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Ayles wins | <1% |
| Dexter by 0–25 | <1% |
| Dexter by 25–35 | 1% |
| Dexter by 35–40 | 1% |
| Dexter by 40–45 | 10% |
| Dexter by 45–50 | 19% |
| Dexter by 50–55 | 18% |
| Dexter by 55–60 | 23% |
| Dexter by 60–65 | 23% |
| Dexter by 65+ | 5% |