OR-01 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close . Districtwide at 8:00 PM local time. Every voter gets a mail ballot
Bonamici 96% chance
- Suzanne Bonamici (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Barbara Kahl (R)0% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Bonamici96%
- Kahl3%
Chance over time, past month: Bonamici from 96% to 96%; Kahl from 3% to 3%.
| Date | Bonamici | Kahl |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 96% | 4% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 97% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Bonamici by 45–50 · 8 in 10: Bonamici +27.2 to Bonamici +54.4
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Kahl wins | 1% |
| Bonamici by 0–20 | 4% |
| Bonamici by 20–30 | 7% |
| Bonamici by 30–35 | 11% |
| Bonamici by 35–40 | 4% |
| Bonamici by 40–45 | 21% |
| Bonamici by 45–50 | 26% |
| Bonamici by 50–55 | 19% |
| Bonamici by 55–60 | 4% |
| Bonamici by 60+ | 3% |