Helm

KS-02 House forecast

Likely Rep2024 lines

Polls close . Districtwide at 7:00 PM local time

Schmidt 83% chance

  • Don Coover (D)+7% past 7 days17%
  • Derek Schmidt (R)-7% past 7 days83%

Chance over time

  • Coover17%
  • Schmidt83%

Chance over time, past month: Coover from 13% to 17%; Schmidt from 89% to 83%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateCooverSchmidt
Sep 22, 202613%89%
Sep 29, 202612%87%
Oct 7, 202611%89%
Oct 14, 202611%90%
Oct 21, 202617%83%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Derek Schmidt (R)

More in Kansas

Ballot measures

  • Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 82%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM