KY-01 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 6:00 PM local time: 6:00 PM ET in most of Kentucky, 7:00 PM ET in the Central-time west
Comer 97% chance
- Drew Williams (D)-1% past 7 days3%
- James Comer (R)+1% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Williams3%
- Comer97%
Chance over time, past month: Williams from 4% to 3%; Comer from 96% to 97%.
| Date | Williams | Comer |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 4% | 96% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Comer by 40–45 · 8 in 10: Comer +48.1 to Comer +16.5
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Comer by 55+ | 3% |
| Comer by 50–55 | 5% |
| Comer by 45–50 | 7% |
| Comer by 40–45 | 24% |
| Comer by 35–40 | 23% |
| Comer by 30–35 | 13% |
| Comer by 25–30 | 7% |
| Comer by 15–25 | 10% |
| Comer by 0–15 | 3% |
| Williams wins | 5% |