MD-06 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Delaney 96% chance
- April McClain Delaney (D)0% past 7 days96%
- Robin Ficker (R)0% past 7 days3%
Chance over time
- Delaney96%
- Ficker3%
Chance over time, past month: Delaney from 95% to 96%; Ficker from 6% to 3%.
| Date | Delaney | Ficker |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 95% | 5% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 95% | 3% |
| Oct 6, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
Projected margin
Most likely Delaney by 20–25 · 8 in 10: Delaney +7.8 to Delaney +25
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Ficker by 5+ | <1% |
| Ficker by 0–5 | <1% |
| Delaney by 0–5 | 6% |
| Delaney by 5–10 | 6% |
| Delaney by 10–15 | 21% |
| Delaney by 15–20 | 14% |
| Delaney by 20–25 | 27% |
| Delaney by 25+ | 25% |