MD-07 House forecast
Safe Dem2024 lines
Polls close
Mfume 97% chance
- Kweisi Mfume (D)0% past 7 days97%
- Scott Collier (R)-1% past 7 days2%
Chance over time
- Mfume97%
- Collier2%
Chance over time, past month: Mfume from 96% to 97%; Collier from 3% to 2%.
| Date | Mfume | Collier |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96% | 3% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 97% | 2% |
Projected margin
Most likely Mfume by 70–75 · 8 in 10: Mfume +58.6 to Mfume +74.1
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Collier wins | <1% |
| Mfume by 0–40 | <1% |
| Mfume by 40–50 | <1% |
| Mfume by 50–55 | 6% |
| Mfume by 55–60 | 5% |
| Mfume by 60–65 | 26% |
| Mfume by 65–70 | 27% |
| Mfume by 70–75 | 30% |
| Mfume by 75–80 | 4% |
| Mfume by 80+ | 1% |