Helm

AZ-03 House forecast

Safe Dem2024 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time

Ansari 99% chance

  • Yassamin Ansari (D)0% past 7 days99%
  • Republicans 0% past 7 days1%

Chance over time

  • Ansari99%
  • Republicans1%

Chance over time, past month: Ansari from 98% to 99%; Republicans from 1% to 1%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateAnsariRepublicans
Sep 22, 202698%1%
Sep 29, 202698%1%
Oct 6, 202699%<1%
Oct 14, 202699%1%
Oct 21, 202699%1%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • Held by Rep. Yassamin Ansari (D)

More in Arizona

Ballot measures

  • Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 55%
  • Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Yes 63%
  • Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?Yes 68%
  • Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?Yes 88%

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM