AZ-08 House forecast
Safe Rep2024 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 7:00 PM local time
Hamadeh 88% chance
- Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)-2% past 7 days12%
- Abraham Hamadeh (R)+2% past 7 days88%
Chance over time
- Greene-Placentia12%
- Hamadeh88%
Chance over time, past month: Greene-Placentia from 17% to 12%; Hamadeh from 84% to 88%.
| Date | Greene-Placentia | Hamadeh |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 17% | 84% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 17% | 82% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 14% | 86% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 14% | 85% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 12% | 88% |
Projected margin
Most likely Hamadeh by 6–9 · 8 in 10: Hamadeh +18.7 to Greene-Placentia +0.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Hamadeh by 21+ | 7% |
| Hamadeh by 18–21 | 5% |
| Hamadeh by 15–18 | 5% |
| Hamadeh by 12–15 | 4% |
| Hamadeh by 9–12 | 14% |
| Hamadeh by 6–9 | 19% |
| Hamadeh by 3–6 | 18% |
| Hamadeh by 0–3 | 18% |
| Greene-Placentia by 0–3 | 8% |
| Greene-Placentia by 3+ | 2% |
Helm simulation
Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.
Context
- Held by Rep. Abraham J. Hamadeh (R)
More in Arizona
Ballot measures
- Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?Yes 55%
- Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?Yes 63%
- Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?Yes 68%
- Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?Yes 88%