Tennessee 2026 midterms
Updated
Polls close · Tuesday, Nov 3
Statewide at 8:00 PM Eastern, 7:00 PM Central
13 days away. Results appear on this page as each race is decided.
Closest races
None close
Every open race in Tennessee has a favourite at an 85% chance or more.
Statewide races
2 racesSenateHeld by RepublicansSafe Rep4%Marquita Bradshaw (D)96%Bill Hagerty (R)Hagerty +2% past 7 daysFull forecast GovernorHeld by RepublicansSafe Rep5%Jerri Green (D)94%Marsha Blackburn (R)Blackburn -1% past 7 daysFull forecast
Probabilities from public sources, collected by Helm's data infrastructure
House delegation
9 seats- Held today
- D 1 · R 8
- Expected seats
- D 0.5 · R 8.5
- Each district’s chance, added up
- Safe R 9
Tennessee votes on new district lines for 2026: no seat has a like-for-like incumbent, so no flips are marked.
- District 01Harshbarger 98% chanceSafe R
- District 02Burchett 96% chanceSafe R
- District 03Fleischmann 96% chanceSafe R
- District 04DesJarlais 97% chanceSafe R
- District 05Hatcher 92% chanceSafe R
- District 06Garrett 96% chanceSafe R
- District 07Van Epps 97% chanceSafe R
- District 08Kustoff 96% chanceSafe R
- District 09Taylor 85% chanceSafe R
News and signals in Tennessee
Each item links to its source.