Helm

TN-08 House forecast

Safe Rep2026 lines

Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM Eastern, 7:00 PM Central

Kustoff 96% chance

  • Heidi Kuhn (D)+1% past 7 days3%
  • David Kustoff (R)-1% past 7 days96%

Chance over time

  • Kuhn3%
  • Kustoff96%

Chance over time, past month: Kuhn from 6% to 3%; Kustoff from 95% to 96%.

Chance over time, past month, weekly
DateKuhnKustoff
Sep 23, 20262%96%
Sep 30, 20263%95%
Oct 7, 20263%96%
Oct 14, 20262%97%
Oct 21, 20263%96%

Projected margin

No margin forecast for this race.

Helm simulation

Not among the districts that most often decide House control in the simulation.

Call this race in your scenario

Context

  • New lines for 2026: the current TN-08 member was elected on different lines.

More in Tennessee

News and signals

House
92% DEM
Senate
65% DEM