TN-09 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM Eastern, 7:00 PM Central
Taylor 85% chance
- Justin Pearson (D)+2% past 7 days14%
- Brent Taylor (R)-3% past 7 days85%
Chance over time
- Pearson14%
- Taylor85%
Chance over time, past month: Pearson from 13% to 14%; Taylor from 88% to 85%.
| Date | Pearson | Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 13% | 88% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 12% | 88% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 13% | 88% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 13% | 88% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 14% | 85% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.