TN-07 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM Eastern, 7:00 PM Central
Van Epps 97% chance
- Darden Copeland (D)0% past 7 days3%
- Matt Van Epps (R)+1% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Copeland3%
- Van Epps97%
Chance over time, past month: Copeland from 5% to 3%; Van Epps from 95% to 97%.
| Date | Copeland | Van Epps |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 5% | 96% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 5% | 95% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 3% | 95% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 3% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 3% | 97% |
Projected margin
Most likely Van Epps by 5–10 · 8 in 10: Van Epps +24.6 to Van Epps +5.2
| Margin | Chance |
|---|---|
| Van Epps by 30+ | 5% |
| Van Epps by 25–30 | 5% |
| Van Epps by 20–25 | 5% |
| Van Epps by 15–20 | 22% |
| Van Epps by 10–15 | 25% |
| Van Epps by 5–10 | 30% |
| Van Epps by 0–5 | 6% |
| Copeland wins | 3% |