TN-04 House forecast
Safe Rep2026 lines
Polls close . Statewide at 8:00 PM Eastern, 7:00 PM Central
DesJarlais 97% chance
- Victoria Broderick (D)0% past 7 days2%
- Scott DesJarlais (R)+1% past 7 days97%
Chance over time
- Broderick2%
- DesJarlais97%
Chance over time, past month: Broderick from 7% to 2%; DesJarlais from 93% to 97%.
| Date | Broderick | DesJarlais |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | 6% | 94% |
| Sep 29, 2026 | 1% | 95% |
| Oct 7, 2026 | 2% | 94% |
| Oct 14, 2026 | 1% | 96% |
| Oct 21, 2026 | 2% | 97% |
Projected margin
No margin forecast for this race.